Global temperatures likely to hit at least 1C warming for next five years

Experts say new climate data shows how close world already is to breaching 1.5C Paris agreement pledge

There is a one-in-five chance annual global temperatures will be at least 1.5C warmer than in pre-industrial times in the next five years, experts have said.

Annual global temperatures are likely to be at least 1C above the levels they were before the industrial era in each year between 2020 and 2024, a long-range forecast by experts led by the UK Met Office shows.

Related: International aviation and shipping likely to be added to UK’s net zero carbon target

The world may have warmed by around 1C (1.8F) over the past century but the far outstrips this global average and is warming at around twice the rate of the rest of the world.

Related: Spreading rock dust on fields could remove vast amounts of CO2 from air

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